NAB
The Metaverse is calling and one of the key converging technologies that will make it work is augmented reality. If AR breaks through, could it spell doom for TVs?
https://amplify.nabshow.com/articles/does-the-rise-of-the-metaverse-necessitate-the-fall-of-the-tv/
No. Or, at least, not any time soon.
While the Metaverse’s digital mirror is conceptualized as
being experienced through some form of mobile AR or VR headgear, no-one thinks
the next-gen internet is going to be switched on overnight.
“The metaverse will require countless new technologies,
protocols, companies, innovations, and discoveries to work,” writes media tech
sage Matthew Ball. “Instead, it will slowly emerge over time as different
products, services, and capabilities integrate and meld together.”
That hasn’t stopped others from talking about AR as a
technology that could eventually replace mobile and the TV.
“I think, in lot of cases, what’s going to happen is people
are going to throw away their TV and have a way bigger TV or they’re going to
go to a totally virtual space that has a way bigger screen,” said Jason
Jones, co-founder of the Halo and Destiny gaming studio
Bungie, during a live stream. “AR is going to be the thing that displaces
mobile. I’m so sure of that. I’m so sure that we’re all going to be wearing
glasses and all the TVs are going to go in a landfill [and] all those companies
are going to go out of business.”He’s not crazy enough to think we’re going to
chuck out our TVs next month or next year. But Alan Wolk, co-founder and lead
analyst at TV[R]EV, believes AR won’t ever completely replace TV.
“It’s a very different experience and it may be something
that becomes very popular, [but] it will be in addition to TV, rather than a
replacement,” he tells Ben Munson at Fierce Video. “Right now, AR seems to
be more of a lean-in activity versus a lean back one and thus it will seem
different to users.”
Indeed, smart TVs could present lucrative opportunities
beyond just sales for manufacturers like Samsung, LG, and Vizio that also run
free, ad-supported streaming television (FAST) services on their platforms. A new
report from TV[R]EV predicts those companies will see 4.5x growth in
ad revenue by 2026, when it will reach $6.17 billion.
These projections and more are likely part of the drive
behind Amazon launching its own range of smart TVs.
The Omni Series TVs also support smart home features like
live view picture-in-picture, which works with smart cameras and Ring video
doorbells without interrupting TV viewing. Later this year, Amazon will add a
smart home dashboard for viewing and controlling connected devices. The TVs
also support video calling through external webcams.
Of course, there’s also reason to be extremely optimistic
about the Metaverse as tech giants like Apple invest in AR. CEO Tim Cook recently
suggested that the technology is integral to Apple’s future. According to Bloomberg,
the company is adding AR content into Apple TV+, its subscription streaming
video service. The feature will debut next year and allow viewers to access
optional AR content — like characters and objects from Apple TV+ shows —
through their iPhones or iPads.
It could still be decades before either AR or the Metaverse
become truly mainstream. Says Munson, “That could all possibly change some day
and consumers may end up dumping their flat screens in favor of an AR/VR/MR
environment that fits into the wider metaverse. But for now, it seems like the
TV still has a safe place in the living room.”
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