Wednesday, 4 March 2026

MWC 2026: Telcos confront the hard economics of 5G

IBC

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With global 5G coverage now surpassing 50% but consumer willingness to pay barely shifting, operators at MWC argued that the next chapter must be defined by utilisation.
The mobile industry expects to generate U$11.3 trillion worldwide by 2030 but telco executives at Mobile World Congress are still concerned that their networks will end up a dumb pipe.
“Telco networks are the digital backbone of the economy,” said Christel Heydemann, CEO, Orange at the event in Barcelona. “We are everywhere, we are essential, and yet for years we have been called a utility, a commodity. When a network goes down it is never just technical. Public services, hospitals and factories stall. We power the system but we barely shape its value.”
Calling the mobile industry “the nervous system of the digital world” Vivek Badrinath,  Director General of trade body GSMA, said, “Today more than anything the lack of scale is hindering operators from making the necessary investment. If we want to realise the full promise of 5G and make a healthy foundation for a future 6G we must first and foremost complete the rollout of 5G.”
5G Advanced is the latest and final phase of 5G’s implementation and a critical one if next-generation services built on new spectrum under 6G are to be realised.
However, the gap between countries pressing ahead with it and those with slower rollout is widening. “In China, they have factories and hospitals running on 5G Advanced,” said Badrinath. “These are not just proof of concept. These are real life services in commercial use. But here in Europe we are losing ground. There is much more to be done to unlock the potential of 5G.”
Operators look for 5G payback
Audience polling during an event on monetising 5G highlighted the same tension— strong confidence in the technology, but uncertainty about the business model.
“With 5G standalone networks, speeds of over 1,000 megabits per second are possible under ideal conditions,” said Mani Manimohan, Head of Digital Infrastructure Policy and Regulation at the GSMA. “The mobile industry has achieved extraordinary technological progress, but many operators are still struggling to translate that technological brilliance into incremental revenue.”
In the first phase of 5G, the main targets were spectrum allocation, coverage, and faster deployment. Today, 5G covers more than half of the world’s population, and in some regions, coverage reaches 80–90%. This progress came at the cost of very high capital expenditure. Collectively, operators invested around U$250bn per year in network infrastructure and devices, according to GSMA.
The question being posed by operators at MWC is whether the industry needs a shift in thinking — one where innovation is based on connectivity and new services, rather than simply squeezing more bits out of radio waves.
“We are moving from a phase defined by rollout to one defined by utilisation,” said  Manimohan.  “The next chapter of 5G will not be about coverage. It will be about capability, experience and new revenue.”
Ericsson’s November 2025 mobility research suggested that the shift is already underway with around 65 differentiated 5G connectivity services in the market.
“These broadly fall into two categories: moment-based services and always-on premium services,” explained Marie Hogan, part of Ericsson’s 5G to 6G transition team.
The first is designed for short periods of high demand. “You might be an influencer at a concert and want to optimise your uplink for that moment, or a gamer who wants ultra-low latency for a specific session,” she said. “In those cases, customers may be willing to pay for better performance in a certain location or time window.”
The second category involves permanent or guaranteed service levels, often aimed at enterprises.  “Premium services are always on,” she said. “A business may want optimised fixed wireless access, or a critical service may need priority connectivity at all times. It’s not always about speed — sometimes it’s about reliability or latency.”
The journey from selling raw data to digital services
Jakob Greiner, VP European Affairs at Deutsche Telekom said the industry had long promised advanced 5G use cases, and some are now becoming reality. “Five or ten years ago we showed slides about remote surgery and ultra-reliable networks,” he said. “Now we are starting to see real applications. That gives me optimism.”
However, he stressed that traditional best-effort internet will remain the foundation. “We are not replacing the normal internet. We are complementing it with specialised connectivity where it makes sense.”
Examples include cloud-gaming offers using network slicing, currently available to some DT customers at no extra cost. “From a European perspective, we are moving more slowly than in the US, but the direction is clear.”
He pointed to high-density environments such as stadiums as a clear future use case. “Thousands of fans, journalists and emergency teams all need reliable connectivity at the same time. In those situations, guaranteed performance has real value, and customers may be willing to pay for it.”
Kaan Terzioğlu, CEO of VEON Group, a digital operator based in Dubai, urged peers to “stop selling SMS and gigabytes of minutes” and instead provide “meaningful connectivity” services to customers.
“It means becoming a banking service and an entertainment service or providing an online consultation with your doctor,” he said. “Do that, and you gain loyalty and people spend more time and money with you.”
The real value now, he said, lay in offering services with “augmented intelligence”. VEON for instance is developing local language models in Bengali, Ukrainian, Punjabi and Uzbek rather than English, French or German because that’s what different populations deserve.
“Augmented Intelligence is going to reshape how humanity will progress,” Terzioğlu said. “The reality is that ‘homo augmentus’ is going to assassinate homo sapiens. In ten years or maybe sooner we will have the ability to organically connect to data [via our brains].”
“AI can augment our skills and make us very successful,” he said, “But the responsibility for shaping it is ours alone. The value systems we have built as humans are our only insurance.”
According to GSMA Intelligence consumer survey, the average premium consumers say they are willing to pay for 5G is around 5% and has remained at that level since 2020. The largest group of respondents isn’t willing to pay anything extra at all.
“Part of the reason lies in the limits of the consumer proposition,” says Matthew Iji, head of forecasting and modelling, GSMA Intelligence. “Many operators tried to monetise 5G through speed-base tiers and premium plans, only to discover willingness to pay for raw performance is capped.”
There was also an expectation 5G would have a single defining killer app. “Among those consumers who are not planning to upgrade, the most common reason given is that the existing network already does everything they need it to,” Iji said.
This leads to a more uncomfortable question: do consumers still care about the generational label at all? For many the answer is probably no. They care about what they can do – stream work connect consume rather than which radio technology happens to be underneath.
If the first five years of 5G were about engineering, the next five will be about economics; The answer as to whether 5G was truly worth it will ultimately be written not in speed tests or coverage maps but in balance sheets.
Breaking the habit
Operators may want us to spend more time using their digital services but Aaron Paul, the Breaking Bad actor, argued for less reliance on our devices.
“I’m not anti-technology but I love that some States [in the U.S] are banning smartphones in schools,” he said in the keynote ‘Technology, Addiction and Balance’. “When I was a kid, they’d never let me bring in a TV and a game console. But now kids bring a device with access to everything. It’s not just unhealthy and unsafe.”
Paul is backing the Light Phone, a new device with much of the functionality of a regular mobile but stripped of adverts, alerts and algorithms that keep us scrolling.
Kaiwei Tang, co‑founder and CEO of LIGHT, explained, “The mobile business model depends on engagement, but it’s hurting people’s well‑being. After 10–15 years of smartphones and social media, we should have spent more time understanding the tools we were creating. Now the same thing is happening with AI. Tools should improve human life - save us time so we can be creative, enjoy our relationships, and live fully.”

Monday, 2 March 2026

Operators shift from selling connectivity to selling experience

Streaming Media

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The global mobile industry may be the “nervous system” of the digital world but its perennial moan to regulators, governments and policy makers is that network operators are never sufficiently valued.
At Mobile World Congress, Barcelona, industry leaders are now exploring greater connectivity by linking cell phones with satellite systems and by hoping to finally earn revenue from 5G.
In the opening keynote, Vivek Badrinath, Director General of mobile industry lobby group GSMA said, “Over the last 20 years the mobile industry has seen incredible growth. We have become the essential nervous system of the digital world. To maintain this trajectory we must complete the 5G rollout.”
5G, he added, is the modernisation of society itself. “In a future where cities think for themselves, where factories run autonomously, where robots are part of daily life investing in 5G Standalone is essential. Countries that hesitate will fall behind.”
Despite what some see as the remarkable technological progress with 5G, the challenge of turning that innovation into sustainable revenue is becoming increasingly urgent.
“We're at the tipping point for 5G in the U.S.,” said John Stankey, Chairman and CEO, AT&T in a keynote. “One of the things that’s often brushed over is what 5G did in the consumer space to make more effective use of spectral efficiency and [therefore] opening up new markets. For just simple things like fixed broadband that has driven an awful lot of innovation for consumer and business customers.
He said 5G Standalone had started to emerge and become more prevalent. “We're seeing hybrid public and private networks (where the private network is sliced for exclusivity).
“Whether it be film studio lots or at a sporting venue where they are able to connect video cameras and actively get on a network and move data without restraint. I think we're over the hump on those types of things now, and so innovation can start taking people to greater levels.”

Stankey views the telco industry and AT&T’s business as being fixed and mobile. “From a customer's perspective, there's only one internet,” he said. “They don't want to buy it multiple times. They'd like one relationship to get on the internet and if you're going to meet that expectation with a customer, you've got to be really good at running multiple access technologies off that fiber infrastructure. I think that's the next play, at least in the United States.”
Mobile operators are beginning to move from selling basic connectivity to offering performance-based services, but the transition is still in its early stages, according to executives speaking during a policy and technology session hosted by the GSMA.
Ericsson’s November 2025 mobility research has evidence that the shift is already underway with around 65 differentiated connectivity services in the market.
Despite this, Verizon’s William Johnson (SVP & Deputy GC of Regulatory Affairs & International Public Policy), said that fixed wireless access (FWA) remains the most proven 5G monetisation model to date.
“A few years ago, this business didn’t exist for us. Now we have about 5.7 million customers, and it’s a multi-billion-dollar revenue stream every year,” Johnson said. “It’s not just about adding new customers — it also helps with convergence. Customers who take both mobile and home broadband are more satisfied and less likely to churn.”
The introduction of standalone 5G cores and network slicing is also changing how fixed wireless can be used.
“In the past, businesses often saw fixed wireless as a backup connection,” he said.
“With slicing and service-level agreements, it can now be a primary service, even for enterprises.”
Mani Manimohan, Head of Digital Infrastructure Policy and Regulation at the GSMA, noted, “There is already talk about 6G, but we still need to make 5G work. The shift from selling connectivity to selling experience has started, but it will take time. The real challenge now is proving that differentiated connectivity can create lasting value for operators, businesses and consumers.”
Space: the next mobile frontier
Despite the growth of terrestrial networks, nearly one-third of the world’s population remains unconnected or underserved.
Gwynne Shotwell, President and COO of SpaceX, speaking at MWC2026, said: “Satellite connectivity is no longer a niche capability. It is becoming a core layer of global communications infrastructure.”
The company’s satellite communications division, Starlink, began by delivering broadband to homes and businesses and is now expanding to direct mobile connectivity. The goal Shotwell said, was to make global communication available everywhere, on any device.
“Connectivity is not only about entertainment,” she said. “Access to reliable internet enables banking, education, healthcare, emergency response, and economic development, particularly in remote or disaster-affected regions.”
Since the first launches in 2020 the company now operates thousands of satellites in low-Earth-orbit (LEO) capable of delivering broadband connectivity almost anywhere on the planet.
Starlink Mobile, the company’s direct-to-cell satellite service, launched 18 months ago. Itr allows unmodified smartphones to connect directly to satellites when terrestrial coverage is unavailable.
“When we started the direct-to-cell program, about 20% of land area in the United States and about 90% of Earth’s surface had no terrestrial mobile coverage,” explained Michael Nicolls, SVP of Starlink. “Starlink Mobile fills those gaps.
“The first generation of the global constellation includes about 150 satellites, and we are now operating across five continents. By geographic coverage, we are the largest 4G provider in the world. We have 10 million active users every month and expect that number to exceed 25 million by the end of 2026.”
Starlink Mobile works by linking through lasers to the broader Starlink constellation. The satellites fly at about 350 km above the earth, to optimize the link between the satellite and the user device.
While the current system supports text messaging, basic data services, voice, and video calls, the next phase of the program, due to go live in mid-2027, is designed to deliver “true broadband performance” directly to smartphones.
“The new satellites will include larger phased-array antennas, higher bandwidth, and advanced 5G non-terrestrial network standards,” said Nicolls. “In optimal conditions, the system is expected to deliver speeds comparable to terrestrial mobile broadband, potentially exceeding 100 Mbps.”
To deploy the constellation at scale, SpaceX will use Starship, its reusable heavy-lift launch vehicle. Once launches begin, global coverage could be established within months, he said, with additional satellites added to increase capacity over time. The constellation will also extend coverage to polar regions, one of the least connected parts of the world.
“The long-term vision is a hybrid network combining terrestrial infrastructure with satellite systems,” said Shotwell. “Terrestrial networks will remain essential for high-density urban coverage, but satellites can provide reach, resilience, and flexibility. They can connect remote regions, restore service during disasters, and supply additional capacity during major events or network congestion.”
Starlink was not the only company talking about filling in the gaps in the mobile network. Vodafone Group struck a deal with Amazon’s LEO constellation to extend 4G and 5G coverage in remote parts of Europe and Africa. Vodafone also joined with AST SpaceMobile’s joint venture Satellite Connectivity Europe to launch an open access direct-to-device satellite broadband provider for European operators.  Orange and Telefónica have also joined the initiative.
“There is a new frontier in the sky,” said Margherita Della Valle, CEO, Vodafone Group who was joined on stage by former ISS astronaut Tim Peake.
She urged for international regulations to guarantee safety and security in space.
“It is hard making anything in space work. The real issue though is that our new frontier is stuck in a wild west state. With new tensions across power blocks we do not know how to deal with the sky which is a vast expanse across borders. If we want to make the most of what technology has to offer we need to join forces across operators, manufacturers and regulators.”

Friday, 27 February 2026

Paramount Skydance and Warner Bros. Discovery Reshape Streaming’s Power Balance

Streaming Media

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The proposed merger of Skydance, Paramount Global with Warner Bros. Discovery is being framed through the usual lenses — debt loads, political sensitivities, and regulatory scrutiny in the U.S. and Europe. But the real story is simpler and more strategic: this is a scale play built around intellectual property.
If approved, the $111 billion deal would unite two major Hollywood studios and one of the deepest content libraries in the industry.
“For all the regulatory noise, this deal ultimately comes back to the fundamentals of the entertainment business,” says Ed Barton, Research Director at Caretta Research. “Control of premium IP, global distribution, maximise engagement and build scale that compounds.”
Paramount’s franchises (Star Trek, Mission: Impossible, Transformers, and SpongeBob SquarePants among them) combined with HBO’s premium positioning create a formidable global streaming proposition.
“A supercharged Max platform (bolstered by Paramount IP) would immediately become a more credible challenger to Netflix — not necessarily in raw scale on day one, but in depth and variety of monetizable franchises,” says Barton. “And while Netflix loses access to Warner Bros. IP in this scenario, it is far from vulnerable. It remains the most effective company in the market at monetising IP at global scale.”
Media analyst Paolo Pescatore agrees that Netflix is no loser. “The practical outcome is Paramount becomes the clear front-runner, while Netflix takes the termination economics and keeps its powder dry. Netflix is prioritising capital discipline over scale at any price. On this basis, it's a really smart move.”
Paramount hasn’t yet clarified whether it plans to run HBO as a separate entity or integrate it into Paramount+. There are existing distribution and licensing deals in place, so consumers likely won’t see immediate changes.
Guy Petty, the Founder of Fulcrum Media and a former Paramount executive says Paramount will need time to figure out exactly what it wants to do with assets like HBO.
“I believe they’ll keep both major brands alive. HBO is an extremely strong brand, and Paramount is as well. Paramount has made solid progress with its streaming services, so it probably makes sense to maintain both platforms rather than consolidate them too quickly,” he told BBC Radio 4.
A combined HBO/HBO+ (120m global subs) and Paramount Plus (78m) would leapfrog Disney+ (132m) but fall short of Netflix 325m global base. WBD said this week it expected to amass 160m streaming subs by end of the year. But it is engagement, not subscribers, that is the new battleground.
“The streaming growth story has shifted,” Barton says. “In most developed markets, subscriber growth is flattening. The new strategic focus is engagement: How do you increase time spent? How do you deepen franchise attachment? How do you maximise lifetime value per user?”
A reinforced HBO/Paramount competing with Netflix at global scale raises uncomfortable questions for Disney, Amazon and NBCUniversal (Comcast). Disney+ may dominate with younger audiences but a combined HBO/Paramount library is would beat it in volume and diversity.
“These companies will be asking themselves: are we comfortable sitting in third, fourth, or fifth place while Netflix’s scale advantage grows even larger?” says Barton. “There may soon be a significant gap between the top two and the rest and we’re likely past the stage where companies can close that gap through organic growth alone. To catch up, you may have to acquire something meaningful. If you own attractive U.S.-facing IP, someone is almost certainly running the numbers on you.”
Not good news for Hollywood
While there may be fewer qualms among theater owners (or filmmakers like James Cameron who has been vocal in his concern) that the deal with two legendary studios will be disastrous” for cinema the merger could negatively impact the movie production ecosystem on the West Coast.
“There’s significant overlap, and to make this work efficiently in the American film industry, there will almost certainly be job losses,” Barton believes. “There will be ripple effects, and they’ll take time to play out. Ultimately, though, what the market needs is competition — particularly competition between scaled entities capable of investing heavily in great content.
That’s where the real story lies.”
Barton thinks the streaming wars are entering a new phase — one defined less by land-grab subscriber growth and more by scaled competition between a smaller number of deeply capitalised entertainment platforms.
“In that environment, size and library depth matter more than ever,” he says. “Let’s be clear: bringing together overlapping studio operations in the U.S. will mean rationalisation. To make the numbers work, duplication across production, marketing, distribution and corporate functions will have to be addressed. In other words, there will be job losses.”
Cable biz still delivers
 
The bid is for all of WBD including its cable assets. Netflix may not have wanted to get into that business but Paramount with its legacy TV distribution should be able to keep revenue in the black.
“Don’t write off legacy TV just yet,” Barton says. “Linear television is in structural decline particularly among under-45s in the U.S but the story isn’t uniform.
“Local broadcast, especially regional news and community programming, remains resilient. It delivers something that streamers like Netflix, YouTube, or TikTok cannot: trusted, community-focused connection. Broadcasters are still investing in live production technology. That aligns with advertisers’ growing interest in targeting local audiences through trusted regional brands.”
One credible strategy, he suggests, would be spinning off U.S. broadcast networks into a separate entity— “grouping high-growth assets together while managing slower-growth businesses independently.
“These are still large, revenue-generating businesses producing hundreds of millions of dollars annually. Given some of the trends in local broadcasting, there may be a slightly more optimistic outlook than people assume.”
Concern for U.S news gathering
 
One of the biggest questions in the U.S is where this leave CNN. Petty believes there will be possibly significant consolidation. “CBS has a substantial global news-gathering operation so there could be redundancies between CBS News and CNN. That said, CNN performs reasonably well on its own, even though cable news audiences overall are relatively small compared to other media categories.”
The bigger issue may be political direction. CNN is often perceived — particularly by the current White House — as strongly anti–Donald Trump. Meanwhile, CBS has recently been viewed by some critics as shifting its political tone closer to the administration. The question is whether CNN’s editorial independence can be maintained within the new corporate structure.
“There’s always a commercial imperative in these situations, and ultimately, business considerations tend to prevail,” said Petty who added that it’s “more a matter of hope than guarantees” about CNN’s  future editorial  independence. “That uncertainty may not be reassuring for many within CNN,” he said.
Each regulatory authority including those in the United States will review the merger on its own merits. They’ll assess any competition or market concerns specific to their jurisdictions.
In some countries, there may be overlapping assets that raise issues. The process will likely resemble what happened when Disney acquired 20th Century Fox where regulators examined the deal country by country and required adjustments where necessary.
That’s the short-term industrial logic of consolidation in a maturing streaming market. The longer-term strategic question is whether Paramount Skydance leadership can turn that scale into advantage.
“If it’s managed competently, there’s enormous potential,” Barton says. “A strong management team could make all the consumer touchpoints truly hum with an IP library of this scale. Once regulatory uncertainty clears, you would hope leadership focuses on what really matters: distribution expansion, audience satisfaction, growing the appeal of key franchises, and doing the hard work of building a great entertainment business.”
He added, “There’s no doubt this could become an absolutely fantastic entertainment company.”
Gulf States land in Hollywood
The Paramount Skydance offer is being underwritten by state funding from Saudi Arabia and finance Abu Dhabi and the Qatar Investment Authority brokered through Jared Kushner’s Affinity Partners.
Reported first by Streamingmedia the funding was confirmed in December when congressional Democrats warned of a national security threat.
In a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, Paramount said the three Middle Eastern funds as well as Kushner’s firm have “agreed to forgo any governance rights — including board representation — associated with their non-voting equity investments.”
The Gulf states and KSA in particular are seeking to engage beyond their borders with soft power. Last September, US games giant Electronic Arts was sold to Saudi Arabia’s sovereign-wealth fund PIF and Kushner’s Affinity Partners for $55bn.
After pouring substantial investment into building a domestic content production base spanning esports, video games, film and TV, KSA can now command a bigger stake in global sports and entertainment.