NAB
To misquote a Monty
Python sketch: “TV isn’t dead, it’s resting.” With the advent of ad tiers on
major SVODs, all the talk is of streaming TV coming full circle. Rather than
disrupting the decades old business model of getting moving picture
entertainment into the home, streamers have been forced to realize that it was
just TV all along.
article here
Parrot Analytics goes
a step further and says that the streamers have been propped up by broadcast
for a decade. While it’s true that viewership to linear TV — notably the four
US major networks — has shrunk in that time, its influence remains potent.
Indeed, much as exhibition amplifies the overall take of the latest blockbuster
in ways that no amount of publicity or streaming subs can buy, screening on TV
amplifies the audience for content watched on-demand.
“Law & Order and NCIS aren’t
sexy in an era of blockbuster franchise IP featuring superheroes and Jedi,”
Parrot notes. “But broadcast content consistently appeals to broad audiences —
at a fraction of the cost — at a time when streamers are battling for every
last subscriber in a hyper-competitive market. Network titles are proven to fit
well within the ad-supported format that is rapidly overtaking the OTT market.”
Parrot provides a
wealth of stats to back its analysis up. For example, 15 of the 100 most
in-demand TV series across all platforms year-to-date worldwide originated on
broadcast networks. That number rises to 23 in the US alone, “a signifier of
how significant the cultural footprint of these shows can truly be,
particularly in the highly competitive domestic market.”
This creates a
unique opportunity for streaming. In particular, broadcasting helps drive
demand and retention. This becomes an obvious case when looking at broadcaster
owned streamers (BVODs) such as Hulu, HBO Max or ITV Hub (soon to be ITVX) in
the UK.
Variety’s Selome Hailu shares how the season two premiere of CBS’ sitcom Ghosts (adapted from the BBC show of the same name) saw a 50% increase in viewership after seven days of multiplatform availability, reaching a peak US demand of 16.67 times in that span. The show, nestled comfortably in the digital shelves of Paramount+, can now help serve multiple purposes for the company as a linear hit and streaming attraction — all for the convenient price of one show.
In fact, Parrot
finds that broadcast titles make up a significant percentage of catalog demand
for major streamers such as Peacock Premium (42%), Hulu (33.8%), and Paramount+
(30.1%). The decay in linear viewership is partially ameliorated as these
viewers migrate to broadcast network’s streaming siblings.
Netflix initially
grew its subscriber base by drawing in audiences to perennial favorites
like The Office (NBC/BBC), Seinfeld, and Friends (NBC)
— while paying titanic sums for streaming rights, of course.
HBO Max houses CBS
originals The Big Bang Theory and Young Sheldon, two of the most
popular sitcoms in recent memory.
In Parrot’s view,
these easily digestible titles serve as both passive and active viewership
offerings with a hefty back catalog of episodes to keep users engaged
frequently and long-term.
“As such, they are
excellent retention contributors and churn reducers for their respective
streaming homes. A hit multi-season sitcom often provides a long-tail of
sustained usage and rewatchability.”
It’s also why
streamers are commissioning new sitcoms (e.g., Apple TV’s Ted Lasso). This
format and series are particularly useful as streaming platforms adopt
ad-supported tiers “that resemble broadcast formatting in an attempt to
increase their total addressable markets.”
Broadcast TV
content is generally cheaper too. Parrot contrasts the $20 to $30 million per
episode for shows like Netflix’s Stranger Things, Amazon Prime’s Lord
of the Rings or HBO Max’s House of the Dragon with the sitcoms,
police procedurals and true crime dramas of TV.
“Pound-for-pound,
the biggest broadcast series are still eliciting similar enough audience demand
as the top SVOD series for significantly less cost.”
In an interview with Joe Flint at The Wall Street Journal, CBS CEO George Cheeks said as much in September: “If I’m being candid, I’m not looking to find a $20 million-an-episode premium drama.”
Meanwhile, Paramount chief financial officer Naveen Chopra shares with Dade Hayes at Deadline how “a lot of pure-play streamers have to spend billions of dollars a year renting library content. We have that in-house. Library content is responsible for a large share of viewing on streaming services and it’s critical to subscriber retention.”
That’s not to say
that less expensive broadcast series are inherently more valuable than their
more expensive streaming original counterparts. Flagship SVOD exclusives drive
growth by attracting new subscribers.
“But it’s often the
broad reach of library network content with high demand that retains these
customers and ultimately reduces churn,” Parrot analysts say. “The two tiers of
content work in tandem to create tailored value for a service.”
Studios should
continue exploring multiplatform distribution flexibility, Parrot advises.
“Much like how streamers use broadcast to showcase their originals, streamers
can also allow users to sample select originals via FASTs.”
It further suggests
that every new Peacock Premium original should make its pilot available to view
on the service’s free ad-supported tier. Once a Prime Video series reaches
three seasons, the first season should be made available on Freevee (which
already licenses dozens of linear series).
In another
suggestion, when a new South Park Paramount+ movie arrives, the
preceding original film should become available on Pluto TV for a month
(Showtime recently launched a channel on the FAST platform in order to expand
its reach). “These flywheel efforts will serve as a growing discovery gateway
for viewers.”
In sum, the death
of TV has been grossly exaggerated — just as SVOD was given premature obits
last spring. There’s a virtuous cycle that could be to the benefit of both.
“Broadcast and
linear networks are still the easiest way to reach large swaths of American
audiences at a given time. They’re necessary platforms to help cut through the
noisy clutter of an entertainment industry that is on pace to air more than 600
scripted series this year.”
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