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There’s a cold wind
blowing, ushering in a slew of economic challenges that for months, even years,
will impact pretty much everyone on the planet. The cost of living is rising
and politicians all over the world seem unable to do anything meaningful about it.
article here
Yet, if you’re an
online creator, then perhaps there’s a silver lining: You’ll weather the storm
better than some.
That’s the
contention of Roger Patterson, co-founder of marketing platform Later and
co-founder of accelerator Launch Academy. He outlines why creators could come
out ahead, even in a downturn, in a blog post for Entrepreneur.
Point 1: Small Is
Beautiful, Agile and Lean
Plummeting stock
values and rising interest rates can pummel global enterprises and wreak havoc
on national economies, but smaller businesses are often better positioned to
pivot as needed. Patterson argues that low overheads and lean operations make
it easier to adapt to shifting economic circumstances.
There’s already a
template for this during the pandemic. “Legions of entrepreneurs moved to a
digital marketplace, the vast majority of whom were solopreneurs or running
small teams,” Patterson notes.
In the process, he
suggests, these entrepreneurs have laid a strong foundation to withstand future
economic shocks.
“Surviving a
recession used to require deep pockets and rock-solid business connections, but
the economy has changed to favor small and nimble operations that can pivot as
demands change. No one is better positioned to do that than creators who, by
and large, have built their careers listening to the needs of their communities
and providing value accordingly.”
Point 2: Creators
Aren’t Part of the Global Supply Chain (Phew)
The pandemic
screwed up the interconnected, just-in-time supply chain for hardware, causing
massive delays in parts like semiconductors. The international oil cartel
doubled down on this at the start of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, sending
transport costs soaring. But if all a creator needs are an off-the-shelf
webcam, a PC, and an internet connection then they should be good to go.
“One advantage
creators have is the ability to monetize their ideas and knowledge in addition
to, or instead of, physical goods,” Patterson writes. “For example, writers
have built and monetized audiences through newsletter subscriptions and
musicians earn money through sites like Patreon or partnerships with Spotify.”
While it’s true a
decline in consumer purchasing could affect creators who depend on paying
clients or community contributions, Patterson believes many will be able to
offset losses by expanding their reach to more followers and implementing new
monetization tools, like virtual tips and NFTs (remember them?).
“The trick for
creators, regardless of macroeconomics, is to stay focused on building their
own niche and nurturing the communities they’ve built.”
I guess so. Even in
a downturn, as evidenced by the pandemic, we turn gratefully to streamed
entertainment and digital services that we couldn’t go out to find.
Point 3: Creators
Can Build a More Equitable Marketplace
This point seems
weaker to me since it holds up Web3 collectivism as an economic savior. I’m
cynical that such ideals won’t get eaten by Big Capital. But let’s hear
Patterson out.
“Right now, only a
small percentage of creators — roughly 12% — make more than $50,000 a
year from their content. A large number of those creators do so by competing for
the same contracts from a handful of global brands. A downturn that causes
bigger companies to pull back on creator spending could actually result in the
acceleration of the peer-to-peer economy.”
Patterson points to
the use creators can make of Web3 tools to monetize directly from their
community. “A peer-to-peer economy based on genuine shared goals and interests
between creators and their audiences, could even the playing field and help the
industry mature into something more authentic,” he argues.
Maybe. Most
creators are freelance and work from home. They still have to eat and heat that
home, paying for exorbitant gas and electricity costs. Belt-tightening by
consumers will inevitably shrink the advertising and marketing budgets of
brands across the board knocking on to the creator economy. Can they make
enough margin to survive? Many will. Some will not.
Patterson is not
ignorant of the challenge. He knows the creator economy won’t be entirely
immune. “For one thing, creators may face increased competition if we see more
people enter the space out of necessity.” But he’s optimistic that creators are
in a position to not only navigate the changing economy but to potentially find
themselves in a better place “if they stay nimble and tuned into their
communities.”
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