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New podcasts are getting lost under the sheer volume of shows being produced, and podcast creators need to work a lot harder to break through.
This seems to be the reason why none of the top 25 podcasts
in the US last year debuted in 2021 or in 2020, according to Edison Research.
They are all older podcasts. Three of the top five (The Joe Rogan Experience, This
American Life and Stuff You Should Know) were released a
decade ago.
While the overall audience for podcasting expands, the
audience for individual new shows is shrinking across the board.
That’s a worry for executives and producers at Spotify,
Amazon, SiriusXM, iHeartMedia and others that have spent billions of dollars on
production. Spotify alone has spent $500 million for three studios.
The reasons for the dearth of hits may be simply that new
podcasts have to fight harder to be heard
Bloomberg’s Lucas Shaw explores the issue.
“Spotify hosts more than three million podcasts, up from a few hundred thousand
just a few years ago,” he writes. “While the vast majority of those new shows
are either defunct or have minuscule audiences, there are still way more
podcasts than there were just a few years ago.”
Meanwhile, podcasts that launched years ago have a big
advantage over brand new productions. “They had years to build up an audience,
gather word of mouth and appear in search results,” notes Shaw. “Podcast
listeners develop attachments to individual stations, shows and hosts.
Listening to The Daily or Alex Cooper is comfort food for a lot of
people. They’d rather listen to their take on a subject, even if it isn’t good,
than the savvy take of a newcomer. Faced with an onslaught of new podcasts,
people are retreating to the familiar.”
The solution is to investment more in marketing, innovate
formats and use these familiar existing hits to promote new shows. Hiring a
celebrity to host the show is a novelty that has faded.
Shaw says podcasting executives are looking for niches and
underserved audiences and taking a page out of the SVOD book by searching
overseas for fresh content.
Spotify, for example, is investing “a ton of money” into
podcasts in Latin America, Europe and Asia. It is adapting its hit Chilean
show Caso 63 into multiple languages. “It may have more room to grow
in some of those markets, at least as a podcaster, than it does in the US,”
says Shaw, who adds, “It’s not that new podcasts can’t be hits. But the bar for
being a hit is higher, which means it’s going to take longer (and a lot more
work) to get there.”
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